LOS ANGELES, May 3, 2013 — The 2013 baseball season is about a month old. It seems like a good time to assess how the Wells On Baseball predictions are shaping up so far.
If this column were a baseball player, it would be batting .300, which is pretty good. Unfortunately, this column is not a baseball player and what passes as good for a baseball player does not equate to being good for a prognosticator. Here is a look at where the teams sit in the standings compared with where they were ranked to finish in the preseason by Wells On Baseball, which is the number in parenthesis.
National League West
1-Colorado Rockies (5) 2-San Francisco (2) 3-Arizona (3) 4-Los Angeles Dodgers (1) 5-San Diego Padres (4)
National League Central
1-St. Louis Cardinals (2) 2-Pittsburgh Pirates (3) 3-Milwaukee Brewers (4) 4-Cincinnati (1) 5-Chicago Cubs (5)
National League East
1-Atlanta Braves (2) 2-Washington Nationals (1) 3-Philadelphia Phillies (3) 4-New York Mets (4) 5-Miami Marlins (5)
American League West
1-Texas Rangers (3) 2-Oakland (2) 3-Seattle Mariners (4) 4-Anaheim Angels (1) 5-Houston Astros (5)
American League Central
1-Kansas City Royals (2) 2-Detroit Tigers (1) 3-Minnesota Twins (5) 4-Cleveland Indians (3) 5-Chicago White Sox (4)
American League East
1-Boston Red Sox (5) 2-New York Yankees (4) 3-Baltimore (3) 4-Tampa Bay (1) 5-Toronto Blue Jays (2)
The Colorado Rockies and the Boston Red Sox are the biggest surprises for teams doing well. Neither team should be where they are, but both are playing extremely well.
The Cincinnati Reds, Los Angeles Dodgers, Anaheim Angels, Tampa Bay Rays, and Toronto Blue Jays are the biggest surprises as far as teams not doing well. All six teams are much better on paper than they are playing at this point, but that is why they play the games.
The National League East so far is the most accurately predicted, with just the Braves and Nationals switching places in the actual standings from where they were predicted to finish. The National League East, however, is almost completely opposite in the real standings from where they were projected.
Carlos Santana, a career .256 hitter, is leading the AL with a .395 batting average for the Indians. Baltimore’s Chris Davis, a career .263 hitter, is sporting a .337 average with nine homeruns, which ties him for the AL lead with Edwin Encarnacion.
Carlos Gomez leads the NL with a .372 average, but the Milwaukee outfielder is a career .252 hitter. The Mets’ John Buck is a career .236 batter who has never hit more than 20 homeruns. So far, he is leading the NL with 27 RBIs and already has nine homeruns to go with a .264 batting average.
The good news for the Wells On Baseball projected finishes is that it is May, not September. There is plenty of baseball left to be played.
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