SCOTTSDALE, ARIZONA, October 10, 2013 — The Denver Broncos are on pace to shatter the NFL single season points record set by the 2007 Patriots, the only team to go 16-0 in the regular season. The Jacksonville Jaguars need only 11 more losses to match the 2008 Lions, the only team to go 0-16. Another 22 losses would allow the Jaguars to surpass the 1976-1977 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Broncos opened as 28 point favorites over the Jaguars, the largest point spread in NFL history. The line has lowered to 26.5 points, slightly more than the 1976 game between those woeful expansion Buccaneers and the two-time defending champion Steelers (Pittsburgh covered).
The Jaguars-Broncos game could be the biggest blowout…or upset…in NFL history. The biggest blowout came in the 1940 NFL Championship when the “Monsters of the Midway” Bears defeated the Redskins 73-0. The result was a surprise since earlier that same season Washington defeated Chicago 7-3.
The biggest upset remains Super Bowl III. Joe Namath guaranteed victory and backed up his bold proclamation when the 18 point underdog Jets shocked the Colts 16-7. The losing coach was Don Shula, who only four years later with Miami would lead the only perfect squad in NFL history.
Several years ago the Patriots led the Titans 59-0 after three quarters. They chose not to run up the score any further. Most NFL teams practice good sportsmanship, meaning the Jaguars will most likely not be making history with this game. They are expected to get blown out badly, but by less than 73 points.
With that, here is the NFL 2013 Week 6 Preview, with spreads provided by a combination of Las Vegas oddsmakers and all times EST. Join us every Sunday for our live NFL chat!
Thursday, October 10, 8:30pm
New York Giants at Chicago Bears (-8)—The Bears have lost consecutive games, but the Giants are awful in every phase of the game. The winless Giants turn the ball over with frequency, and nothing suggests they will reverse that trend this week. Bears win but fail to cover
Sunday, October 13
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-9)—The Raiders have actually won six straight times at Arrowhead. The Raiders are also significantly improved. Yet the Chiefs are the most improved NFL team in some time, and Walrus Lite Andy Reid will keep his players focused. Chiefs win but fail to cover
Philadelphia Eagles (-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers—The Eagles only seem to be able to win against bad teams, but the Buccaneers cannot beat anybody. Therefore, the Buccaneers are bad enough to lose this game as well. Greg Schiano shipped quarterback Josh Freeman out of town, but his replacement also knows how to complete passes to both teams. Eagles cover
Green Bay Packers (-3) at Baltimore Ravens—The Packers have the offense and the Ravens have the defense. Joe Flacco is struggling on offense, and Green Bay has the talent to take advantage. Packers cover
Detroit Lions (-2.5) at Cleveland Browns—A few years ago these awful teams played a thriller won 38-37 by the Lions on the final play. Now these teams are both improved. Cleveland has won three straight. Yet the difference was new Browns quarterback Brian Hoyer. His injury means Brandon Weeden returns to the lineup, which means Cleveland reverts back to its losing ways. Lions cover
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) —League rules require that this game be played. Minnesota had to go to London to get a win over another winless team, and bringing in Josh Freeman adds little. Luckily, it does not take a star quarterback to give the ball to Adrian Peterson. If the Vikings can master the quarterback-center exchange and the handoff to the running back play, Minnesota should get another win. Vikings cover
St. Louis Rams at Houston Texans (-7) —Matt Schaub has thrown an interception for a touchdown in an NFL record four straight games. Yet the underachieving Rams do not have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Houston offense. Even if Schaub throws touchdowns to both teams again, Sam Bradford could return the favor. Texans cover
Pittsburgh Steelers at (-1) New York Jets—The Jets shocked Atlanta on Monday Night Football. Rex Ryan was supposed to have a laughingstock of a team, but the Jets are 3-2 and thriving in their “us against the world” mentality. Meanwhile Mike Tomlin has an 0-5 team wracked from injuries. The Jets will blitz Ben Roethlisberger on every play and knock him down a few times. Jets cover
Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) at Buffalo Bills—The injury to E.J. Manuel is a death knell for the Bills, while the Bengals win just enough games to make people think they are good. The Bills have been fighting hard, and at home will rally around their backup. Bengals win but fail to cover
Tennessee Titans at Seattle Seahawks (-13.5) —Seattle is an angry team at home after suffering their first loss. They still have Super Bowl aspirations, rightfully so. Yet the Titans are not tomato cans, and could make a game of it if they can slow the pace of the game down. Seahawks win but fail to cover
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos (-26.5)—Will the Broncos cover the spread by the end of the first quarter? Will they hit triple digits and fry the scoreboard until its operator develops carpal tunnel syndrome? The Broncos really are that good and the Jaguars really are that bad, but a couple lucky breaks could make this a slightly less awful blowout than oddsmakers want. Broncos win but fail to cover
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-11)—The 49ers appear to have righted the ship, while the expected improvement in the Arizona offense has not materialized. 49ers cover
New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots (-2.5)—The Patriots will be angry at home after their first loss, but the Saints are still unbeaten. Drew Brees and Tom Brady can duel on offense, but the Saints have a defense and the Patriots do not. Upset special, Saints win outright
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-5.5)—Both RGIII and Tony Romo are elite quarterbacks taking far more criticism than they deserve. Romo has been the goat on several occasions, but when a guy throws for 506 yards and five touchdown passes, his critics need to calm down. It’s not like anybody else has beaten Peyton Manning, and even he threw one interception last week. Cowboys win but fail to cover
Monday, October 14, 8:30pm
Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) at San Diego Chargers—The Colts may suffer a hangover after a big win over Seattle last week, while the Chargers may be hostile after losing to the hated Raiders. Both Andrew Luck and Philip Rivers are throwing the ball well this season. If it comes down to who makes the critical mistake, bet on Rivers. Colts cover
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