WASHINGTON, November 16, 2013 — The Republican Party stands at a crossroads. It is in a moment of crisis, but with crisis always comes opportunity.
The crisis is the ideological war within the GOP between the conservative base and the crony Republican establishment. The opportunity is Obamacare.
Since 2009, the Republican Party has run against Obamacare. The Republican leadership has scheduled almost fifty meaningless votes in the House of Representatives so that GOP members could tell the folks back home they are doing something about Obamacare. They have done massive fundraising from the base by running against Obamacare.
Yet, when Ted Cruz and Mike Lee stood up, the Republican establishment shot them down.
The GOP now has the chance to either kill Obamacare and save itself as a political party, or bail the Democrats out and see a permanent break with the conservative base.
Congressman Fred Upton has authored a bill that will allow people to keep their insurance plans for a year. A similar bill is going through the Senate, and it is aimed at protecting red state Democrat Senators who are now on the endangered species list.
Obamacare is Obama’s Enron. It is a scandal that simply never stops. Upton’s bill on its face is a terrible idea. It simply saves the Democrats from the voter’s wrath in 2014. The good news for the GOP is that Obama is threatening to veto that bill. Let him.
Democratic Representative Jim McDermott recently said of Obamacare and the House that he had not seen this much panic in Congress since 9/11. By January, the Democrats will be in full panic mode.
In January 2014, the first bill the Republicans should introduce in both Houses of Congress is a complete repeal of Obamacare. The pressure from Democrats to get Obamacare off of their necks will be unbearable. Obama’s “fixes” aren’t going to work. The situation will simply get worse.
By early 2014, Harry Reid will see the handwriting on the wall. Either Obamacare goes or he will find himself as the minority leader in 2015. That is a position he does not want to go back to.
The Democratic establishment will put unbearable pressure on Obama. If they fail to do anything about Obamacare, an electoral tsunami will sweep them out of Washington.
And there is the danger for the GOP. Many in the Republican Party are openly talking about doing nothing about Obamacare so that the voters will take their wrath out on the Democrats. Some in the Republican Party would rather see America stuck with a disastrous program that will destroy our economy — if it produces a Republican victory in 2014 — than repeal this hated program.
This is the crisis and the opportunity for the GOP.
If the Republicans fail to act, they will lose their base. Because the GOP is so dominated by its professional political class, they may do just that.
If Obamacare is repealed, one of the things we will see in 2014 is a strong rebound in employment. That will be good for America and bad for Obama. Despite the best efforts of the Democrats, it will be the first, major step for America out of the Great Obama Depression.
Will Republicans do what is best for America, or will they let the nation continue to suffer so they can run up their numbers in the next election?
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