Romney has 271 electoral votes nearly in the bag

It's easy to find a way for Romney to win. Photo: Associated Press

SALT LAKE CITY, November 5, 2012 — Very smart people have predicted a Romney win. George Will, Dick Morris, and Michael Barone have all given gone against the media grain to call it early for the challenger.

But they are a very small minority in a chorus proclaiming that Barack Obama will guarantee four more years of governmental paralysis with a razor-thin victory.

Count this author as among those who believe the American People will not vote for failure. We will learn fairly early tomorrow night that Mitt Romney has secured an electoral majority. There is a growing consensus that The GOP candidate will take Florida, North Carolina, and Colorado, which would put him at 244 electoral votes. Of the remaining eight undecided states, The following look most ready to go red:

Virginia will go decisively for Romney. Obama’s serial disparagement of the military in general and the Navy in particular will have been too much for the Old Dominion to bear. Romney will win it by a comfortable margin, perhaps three to four points.

New Hampshire might be closer than Virginia, but no less important. Romney is at a statistical tie, but independents and excited Republicans will carry him across the finish line. He wins it by one and a half points and takes its four electoral votes.

Wisconsin goes red because of Paul Ryan and Scott Walker. The unions went all out to recall their governor this summer, and failed. Ryan has proven that he can win independents and Democrats, and Walker proved that the GOP machine can deliver on election night. The 2012 presidential race will be closer than either of Walker’s elections, but in a winner-take-all situation, Romney won’t care what the margin is after he bags ten electors.

And the last of those ten electors will account for the 271st electoral college vote for the future president of the United States, Mitt Romney. 

 


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Rich Stowell

Rich Stowell has written about politics and travel for the Washington Times Communities since 2011. He is a soldier in the Utah National Guard and a fellow at the Center for Communication and Community at the University of Utah. Rich is the author of "Nine Weeks: A Teacher's Education in Army Basic Training"and continues to blog about military issues at “My Public Affairs.”

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