With Obama taking 281 electorates and Romney 257, Obama will win a second term

“Too close to call” is a phrase we will hear many times today. But in the end, President Barack Obama will likely eke out a narrow Electoral College victory.

WASHINGTON, D.C. November 6, 2012 — “Too close to call” is a phrase we will hear many times today. But in the end, President Barack Obama will likely eke out a narrow Electoral College victory.

Gov. Mitt Romney’s national momentum does not seem to have translated into significant gains in the swing states. As of today, the Electoral College map is more favorable to President Obama.

Even if Romney wins North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, and Colorado, along with other solidly Republican states; it only puts him at 263 Electoral College votes. That means he will need to also win Wisconsin, Iowa, or Ohio in order to cross the 270 threshold. But according to recent polling data from RealClearPolitics, Romney is down in Wisconsin (49 to 46 percent), Iowa (48 to 46 percent), and in Ohio (49 to 46 percent).

Granted President Obama’s lead in those states is narrow and within the margin of error, but those numbers have remained steady for the past couple of weeks which means the president withstood Romney’s late surge.

Is there still an opportunity for a Romney upset? Yes, there is. But all signs point to an Obama victory.

 


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Ayobami Olugbemiga

Ayobami Olugbemiga is a Political Sales Team Leader at NCC Media where he develops Cable TV advertising schedules for political candidates and interest groups. An award-winning collegiate journalist, Ayobami received his Bachelor’s degree in Political Science from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and is currently pursuing his Master’s degree in Political Management from George Washington University’s Graduate School of Political Management. 

In 2013, he was honored by the Society of Professional Journalists with a Mark of Excellence Award for Online Opinion and Commentary. Follow Ayobami on twitter at @ayobamiao

 

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