PHOENIX, October 14, 2012- Following the Democratic National Convention in September, President Obama received a small lead in the polls and the momentum shifted in the Democrat’s favor.
In the days following the DNC, Gallup’s daily tracking poll had the president leading 50 percent to 43 percent over Gov. Romney. Some even declared the race as over claiming Obama was sure to win re-election.
By mid-September, the polls once again returned to a deadlock at 47 percent and Obama’s DNC bounce had officially vanished in just a week. This is bad news for any candidate with hopes that the momentum shift would translate into actual votes.
Nevertheless, as we look at the current political climate, the Romney-Ryan campaign has two debates under their belts and the momentum following the first presidential debate is turning into static support.
On the national scale, Romney now leads Obama by an average of 1.3% according to the Real Clear Politics matchup. He leads Obama by two points in Gallup’s daily tracking of likely voters and by one point in Rasmussen.
Though more importantly, Romney is surging in the crucial swing-states, likely turning Obama’s campaign into panic.
The coveted state of Florida is now strongly backing Mitt Romney by an average of 3.2% according to the Real Clear Politics tracking. Even Suffolk University Polling is discontinuing their polling in Florida, as they believe Romney will definitely carry it.
Miami Herald’s latest poll shows Romney winning Florida by seven points over Obama. Rasmussen has the former Massachusetts governor winning the Sunshine State by four points, a week after the first debate.
Colorado, a state that has gone Democratic only twice in the last 40 years, is now showing a similar story as Florida. Romney leads Obama by four points in the Centennial State, according to the latest American Research Group survey of 600 likely Coloradoan voters.
New Hampshire, another critical swing-state, is showing modest gains for Romney as he leads President Obama by four points in the latest American Research Group survey.
Moreover, it isn’t just polls that are shifting in Romney’s direction, the crowd sizes at Romney campaign stops have grown substantially since the debate.
At an event in Virginia the day after the debate, Romney was met with a crowd of over 14,000, his largest ever. Another event on the Sunday following the debate, Romney was introduced to a crowd of over 12,00 in Florida.
Romney also drew that same 12,000-crowd size in a stop in Ohio that same week.
The reason for Romney’s momentum turning into static support is all thanks to the man who is running against him.
Obama’s disastrous debate performance last week was the perfect metaphor for how Obama has governed this country for the past four years; absentminded, arrogant, and lethargic.
For the first time since 2008, Obama couldn’t hide behind the wall of the mainstream media or State of the Union address. He had to in a genuine manner face the American people directly.
Obama’s debate performance last week surprised all, but in reality, it really shouldn’t have if you look at how Obama has run the country in the last four years.
It is probable that Obama will do substantially better at the ‘town-hall’ debate on Tuesday, but it likely won’t be a game-changer that the Obama campaign is plausibly considering.
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