PHOENIX, November 5, 2012- After four long years, the 2012 presidential election has finally come upon us and for the first time in a long time, no one can confidently say who our next president will be.
With both campaigns predicting that their side will win tomorrow, virtually every final election poll has the race in a statistical tie.
CNN’s final poll has the race tied at 49 percent, a Politico/George Washington University poll has it tied at 48 percent, the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll has it Obama 49 percent and Romney 48 percent, and finally Rasmussen has it also tied at 49 percent.
If these national polls hold true on Election Day, the race could last fairly late into the night. The statewide polls show a similar story, with nearly all of them indicating both candidates is within the margin of error.
On Fox News Sunday, Mitt Romney’s political director, Rich Beeson, predicted that Gov. Romney will win more than 300 electoral votes.
“Pennsylvania and Michigan and Minnesota are not pass the 270, as much as [David] Axelrod would like to report, those are pass the 300, this is going to be a big election and Gov. Romney is going to win,” Beeson said to host Chris Wallace.
White House senior advisor David Plouffe rejected the Romney campaign’s claim that they’re headed for a victory on Tuesday, saying, “If you look at states like Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Nevada, New Hampshire, Colorado … all these states right now we think the president is in a good position to win.”
Even Vice President Joe Biden weighed in on the possible electoral vote tally, saying, “I don’t think it is going to be close in the Electoral College. I think we’re going to win Iowa, we’re going to win Wisconsin, we’re going to win Nevada, we’re going to win New Hampshire. I think we’ve got an even chance of winning Virginia and Florida.”
Florida and Virginia have of course been trending toward Romney in the final weeks of campaign, so it is no surprise that Biden doesn’t have complete confidence in those two states delivering for his side.
Even so, if you cut through all the fog of the campaign talking points and get down to the truth, on Tuesday, one side will be right and the other will be very wrong.
President Obama and Mitt Romney have been campaigning hard for months and now it’s time to decide. It doesn’t matter what these polls say or what the talking points entail, Americans will think about their life and ask themselves if they are better off today than they were four years ago.
The electorate knows the country is $16 trillion in debt and that unemployment has been rather high for the last four years.
No stump speech or campaign promise will change that. When Americans go to the voting booth, they will look at each candidate’s name and arrive at a conclusion on who they believe will be best for the country and their wellbeing for the next four years.
If they’ve been unemployed and are facing economic hardships, they’re going to vote for Romney. If they believe the government should play a large role in their life, they’ll re-elect Obama.
The 2012 campaign has come to the point, where everybody agrees that both Romney and Obama represent such stark contrasts regarding what role the federal government should play.
This contrast will play out on Tuesday.
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